j9九游会

上海治理论坛第225期

问题：Modeling the impacts of alternative emission trading schemes on international shipping（差别碳排放生意机制对国际航运的影响研究）

演讲人：罗梅丰，
，香港理工大学副教授

主持人：范丽先，
，j9九游会治理学院副教授

时间：2017年3月16日（周四）上午10:00

所在：治理学院420室

主理单位：j9九游会治理学院、j9九游会治理学院青年西席联谊会

演讲人简介：

罗梅丰先生现任香港理工大学物流及航运学系副教授、万邦-曹文锦海事图书馆暨研发中心主任。。。。罗先生于96年获得天下海事大学海事治理及情形保唬；；ぷㄒ邓妒俊⒉⒂2002年获得美国罗德岛大学盘算机科学硕士，
，情形与自然资源经济学的博士学位。。。。

罗先生的主要研究兴趣包括航运经济、治理与政策，
，研究内容包括口岸竞争、集装箱航运市场竞争战略剖析与市场动态模拟、船舶投资剖析、船舶挂号行为、海事清静、以及国际航运碳排放允许证生意的政策剖析等等。。。。

罗先生现在主持香港政府RGC项目1项，
，主要研究集装箱船舶大型化对靠港行为的影响。。。。在交通及航运偏向主要国际期刊“交通研究”系列A，
， B，
， E；；；； “交通经济与政策”（Journal of Transport Economics and Policy）, “交通政策” （Transportation Policy），
，“海事政策与治理”（Maritime Policy and Management）等揭晓论文38余篇。。。。担当“海事政策与治理”副主编。。。。

演讲内容简介：

Various market-based measures have been proposed to reduce CO2 emissions from international shipping. One promising mechanism under consideration is the Emission Trading Scheme (ETS). This study analyzes and benchmarks the economic implications of two alternative ETS mechanisms, namely, an open ETS compared to a Maritime only ETS (METS). The analytical solutions and model calibration results allow us to quantify the impacts of alternative ETS schemes on the container shipping sector and the dry bulk shipping sector. It is found that an ETS, whether open or maritime only, will decrease shipping speed, carrier outputs and fuel consumption for both the container and dry bulk sectors, even in the presence of a ‘‘wind-fall’’ profit to shipping companies. Under an open ETS, the dry bulk sector will suffer from a higher proportional reduction in output than the container sector, and will thus sell more emission permits or purchase fewer permits. Under an METS, container carriers will buy emission permits from the dry bulk side. In addition, under an METS the degree of competition within one sector will have spill-over effects on the other sector. Specifically, when the sector that sells (buys) permits is more collusive (competitive), the equilibrium permit price will rise. This study provides a framework for identifying the moderating effects of market structure and competition between firms on emission reduction schemes, and emphasizes the importance of understanding the differential impacts of ETS schemes on individual sectors within an industry when considering alternative policies.

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